Will FC Bayern Win The Champions League?
FC Bayern played a solid game against PSG on the road in the first leg of the 2022/23 Round of 16. Although PSG has a squad with big names like Messi, Neymar, Mbappé, Sérgio Ramos and Donnarumma, Bayern Münich won the game because of their collective strength that speaks louder than the teams face each other.
FC Bayern is a very oiled machine and they’re able to executive fast passes, attacks through the wings and very solid defensive work that PSG just can’t these days.
In fact, the first leg was impressive in the betting markets in a very unique way. The visitors had similar odds compared with the odds to win the game about 1 hour before the kickoff. However, after the first fifteen minutes, FC Bayern had lower odds, that is, they were the favourites to win the game!
Hardly ever in big games in the UEFA Champions League see such market swings without a goal or red card involved in the game. The market sensed the good moment of FC Bayern in the first minutes of the game and the German side eventually scored and won the match.
After beating PSG in the 1st leg of one of the hardest fixtures of the Round of 16, it’s fair to expect FC Bayern to be the favourites to win the UCL together with Real Madrid and Manchester City.
But the betting markets don’t always agree with the ideas that are common sense among bettors, which leaves room for value. Sometimes big odds are paid, just like online pokies Australia games pay big jackpots to lucky winners.
Let’s analyse the betting markets for the Outrights of the 2022/23 edition of the UEFA Champions League
Champions League Outrights Betting Market: Will a Bundesliga Team Win?
Depending on the bookie, RB Leipzig has odds between 50 and 80 to 1, which shows how they’re a clear underdog in the market of bets on who will win the current edition of the Champions League.
FC Bayern on the other hand is the 2nd most likely team to win with odds around 4.5 in the decimal system, just behind Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City that has odds in the house of 3.0.
After thrashing the hosts Liverpool on the road, reigning champions Real Madrid are the third most likely team to win the tournament with odds between 6.5 and 7.0 depending on the sportsbook.
Napoli is the last team below 10.0 with odds of 7 on average and the Italian trending team is the 4th most likely to win the UCL in the eyes of the gambling markets.
We must take into account that these odds are influenced by the results of the first leg of the round of 16, for that reason, PSG has odds around 20.0 to win as they’re losing the aggregate score to Bayern Münich.
Eintracht Frankfurt and Club Brugge have odds between 250.0 and 1001.0 depending on the bookie, which reflects their history in contrast with the tradition of giant sides like Real Madrid.